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Re: OT: The Bible Code [message #61345] Sat, 10 January 2004 11:08 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
TheGunrun is currently offline  TheGunrun
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Registered: April 2003
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The Probrability Of this being bull shit: 1 out of 5.3 million

Most of you take the side of which is most probrable, remeber the meteror in 2014 topic? u all said that it was not going to hit but when we talk about something with over 5.3 million going for this u still say it is not posible. I dont get that. This is a very high differential. 1/5,3000,000. Ok here lets try something im guessing a number between one and 5.3 million. Guess it and this topic is bull shit guess the wrong number and its true. Good luck.

Here is some data from where i got the numbers out of.
Skeptic Scientists

When the authors used a randomization test to see how rarely the patterns they found might arise by chance alone they obtained a highly significant result, with the probability p=0.000016. Our referees were baffled: their prior beliefs made them think the Book of Genesis could not possibly contain meaningful references to modern-day individuals, yet when the authors carried out additional analyses and checks the effect persisted.

That is, the probability of getting the results they did was 16 out of one million or 1 out of 62,500. The authors state: "Randomization analysis shows that the effect is significant at the level of 0.00002 [and] the proximity of ELS's with related meanings in the Book of Genesis is not due to chance." Harold Gans, a former cryptologist at the US Defense Department, replicated the work of the Israeli team and agreed with their conclusion. Witztum later claimed that, according to one measure, the probability of getting these results by chance is 1 in 4 million. He has apparently changed his mind and now claims that the probability p = 0.00000019 (1 out of 5.3 million).

As further evidence of the statistical significance of their results, the Israeli team analyzed the Hebrew version of the Book of Isaiah and the first 78,064 characters of a Hebrew translation of Tolstoy's War and Peace. They found many names in close proximity to birth or death dates, but the results were statistically insignificant. (The book of Genesis used in their study, the Koren version, has 78,064 characters.)


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